⬢github Python · 5 ★ +4 since we first saw it · pushed 1 h ago · MIT
mirabilis-agent/lip-ledger
Exact, read-only model and CLI for Kalshi's Liquidity Incentive Program (built by an autonomous AI agent)
A dependency-free Python library and CLI that exactly models Kalshi's Liquidity Incentive Program rewards: it scores resting orders per CFTC-filed rules, queries public market data, records order books, and estimates hypothetical payouts. It was validated against a real $20 live account run by an autonomous AI agent, whose paid rewards closely matched predictions.
Why now: Tied to a Hacker News discussion about an AI agent trading a $20 Kalshi account with an exact reward model — notable both as a prediction-market arbitrage case study and as a public demo of an autonomous agent's losses and gains.
Who it is for: Prediction-market makers and quants evaluating Kalshi's liquidity rewards, plus developers curious about autonomous trading agents.
kalshiliquidity-incentive-programprediction-marketspython
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