AHEAD

Beijing has published its official statement on today's meeting between Xi Jinping and Donald Trump at the White House, while Washington has yet to release its own account. The Chinese readout is described as short but unusually dense, and observers are combing it for signals on trade and bilateral ties ahead of the US version.

New data indicates the current El Niño is the strongest ever recorded, driving a major shift in global weather patterns. The development is expected to bring hotter temperatures, droughts in some regions and heavy rainfall in others, with scientists warning of widespread consequences for agriculture, water supplies and extreme weather events across the globe in the months ahead.

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian says Iran will never seek to build a nuclear bomb, ahead of the 81st session of the UN General Assembly. The pledge is drawing wide attention as Tehran's nuclear program remains a central point of tension with Western powers, and observers watch for how the statement will land in New York diplomacy.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky addressed the United Nations General Assembly, branding Russian President Vladimir Putin 'patient zero' of global instability over the war in Ukraine. He urged the world not to be deceived by Kremlin peace signals, warned that Russia's war threatens international order, and pushed allies to maintain pressure, while also raising concerns ahead of possible talks involving US President Donald Trump.

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said rising bond yields will weigh on economic growth and help bring down inflation, comments that traders and analysts are reading as a signal the ECB may not need to raise rates further. Markets are watching closely for confirmation ahead of the bank's next policy decision.

A Wall Street Journal report says Egyptian intelligence warned Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government ahead of October 7 that an attack by Hamas was imminent, but the warning apparently did not prevent the assault. The claim raises new questions about Israeli intelligence failures and about how much Israeli officials knew before the Hamas-led attack that killed roughly 1,200 people and triggered the war in Gaza.

A report says Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ordered security forces to 'minimize escalation' in Gaza just days before Hamas's October 7 attack. The claim has drawn attention amid ongoing debate over whether Israeli leadership underestimated threats from Gaza and whether earlier signals of an attack were ignored ahead of the assault.

Fuel prices are climbing worldwide as threats issued by Donald Trump and ongoing armed conflicts weigh on energy markets. Traders and analysts are tracking how sanctions rhetoric, military escalation and supply disruption risks could push crude oil and refined fuel costs further up, leaving governments and consumers bracing for more expensive energy in the weeks ahead.

Australia's central bank, the Reserve Bank of Australia, has raised its cash rate to its highest level in 15 years, according to Reuters. The move means higher borrowing costs for Australian households and businesses, and signals the bank is still working to bring inflation back to target despite signs of economic slowing. Markets and economists will be watching for hints on whether further tightening is ahead.

The Bank of Japan has signalled it may raise interest rates sooner than markets had anticipated. The hawkish signal points to a possible shift away from Japan's long-standing ultra-loose monetary policy. Investors and analysts are watching closely for clues on the timing of the move, as an earlier hike could affect the yen, bond yields and global carry trades.

Forest fires in Indonesia are sending smoke and haze toward Singapore just as the city prepares to host its Formula One Grand Prix. Organisers are drawing up contingency plans as the regional haze threatens air quality ahead of the major sporting event, raising concerns over whether conditions will be safe for drivers and fans.

The United States has extended tariff relief to a broad set of products under its latest trade arrangement with China. The exemptions cover US coal and agricultural goods as well as Chinese-made toys, car seats and holiday decorations. The scope of the relief is drawing attention because it touches both American export sectors and everyday consumer imports ahead of the holiday shopping season.

Venezuelan authorities have released dozens of political prisoners as calls grow, both at home and internationally, for elections in the country. The move comes amid mounting pressure on the government and is being read by observers as a possible gesture ahead of a potential electoral process, though the full scope of the releases and who was freed remains to be detailed.

A reported warning from the United Arab Emirates ahead of the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel apparently never reached senior Israeli security leadership, according to reporting by The Jerusalem Post. The claim raises questions about how intelligence and diplomatic alerts circulated within Israel's security apparatus before the attack, and whether failures in internal communication contributed to the surprise that led to the deadliest day in Israeli history.

Egypt's intelligence chief warned Israel ahead of October 7 that Gaza was 'on verge of exploding' and that Hamas was planning an escalation, according to a report citing the warning. The claim revives debate over whether Israeli officials underestimated the threat despite specific advance notice from Cairo, and how much of the intelligence was shared or acted upon before the attack.

A new report says Egypt warned Israel ahead of Hamas's October 2023 terror attack, reviving questions over security failures that still preoccupy the country. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu denies receiving any such warning, but the allegations are dogging him ahead of the upcoming election, putting intelligence handling and political accountability back at the centre of public debate.

Iran is maintaining its stance on diplomacy even after a missile strike in the Strait of Hormuz, according to market commentary ahead of trading hours. The strike raises geopolitical risk in a waterway critical to global oil shipments, and observers are watching whether tensions will derail diplomatic channels or move energy markets when markets open.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has travelled to the United Arab Emirates to meet the Emirati leader, in a rare visit by an Israeli premier to the Gulf state. The trip comes after reports that Israel received warnings ahead of Hamas's October 7 attack. The meeting is being closely watched for what it signals about Israeli-Arab relations amid the ongoing fallout from the intelligence controversy.

Donald Trump said that new US military strikes against Iran are 'not ruled out' ahead of the upcoming US midterm elections, keeping open the possibility of renewed military action. The remark suggests continued tensions between Washington and Tehran even after earlier strikes, and signals that military options remain on the table as the political season intensifies.

A new poll projects France's 2027 presidential election could come down to a run-off between far-right leader Marine Le Pen's camp and hard-left veteran Jean-Luc Melenchon, sidelining President Emmanuel Macron's centrist bloc. Commentators see the projection as a sign of deepening polarisation in French politics, with the mainstream centre at risk of being squeezed out of the second round entirely.

ProPublica has published new reporting revealing the extent of the White House's role in attempting to dictate how mail-in ballots are processed. According to the outlet, the effort sparked behind-the-scenes drama that played out for nearly a year. The revelations are drawing attention ahead of the election cycle, with readers sharing the report widely and debating what it means for the independence of election administration.

Economists are split over whether the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year. ABC News reports that analysts disagree on the outlook, with arguments on both sides about inflation pressures, labor market strength, and the risk of slowing growth. The division reflects genuine uncertainty about how the economy will perform in the months ahead, leaving markets and businesses unsure about borrowing costs.

SpaceX is launching its Starship rocket on its 14th test flight, with live coverage drawing a large global audience following the vehicle's progress toward orbit. The flight is part of SpaceX's rapid iteration programme testing the giant rocket's ascent, reentry and recovery ahead of future lunar and Mars missions. Viewers are tracking each milestone of the launch live.