Atlas Poll

A new Atlas Intel poll in Brazil puts Lula at 45.3% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 42.2% in a first-round scenario for the 2026 presidential election, with the two statistically tied. In a second-round matchup, the survey shows the candidates even, underscoring how competitive the race has become. The numbers are fueling debate about Bolsonarismo's strength under a new standard-bearer and Lula's re-election prospects.