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Climate Prediction Center
Trends
- 1
The Climate Prediction Center reports the current El Niño has strengthened to the strongest category on its scale, with a 70% chance of a record-breaking winter. The pattern is expected to bring unusually wet, stormy conditions to California and parts of the southern United States, while also affecting weather across Mexico and Latin America, where it is also drawing attention.
- 2NOAA says El Niño has 83% chance of historic strength●NOAA gives El Niño an 83% chance of reaching historic strength in late 2026 El Niño strengthened further across the equa
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center reported on October 8 that El Niño strengthened further across the equatorial Pacific in September 2026, giving an 83% chance that the event reaches historic strength during late 2026, based on the October–December Relative Oceanic Niño Index. A powerful El Niño would bring heightened risks of droughts, floods and temperature extremes worldwide, drawing close attention from weather watchers.