Junts

Traders on prediction platform Polymarket now put a 56% probability on Spain holding a snap general election in 2026, up from under 20% only days earlier. The sharp move followed Catalan separatist party Junts joining the conservative PP and far-right Vox to defeat Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's two housing decrees in parliament, deepening doubts over his minority government's ability to survive.

Spain's Social Rights Minister Pablo Bustinduy has reacted angrily after Junts voted against the government's legislative decrees in Congress, dealing a setback to the coalition's agenda. The rejection by Carles Puigdemont's party leaves the government once again reliant on fragile parliamentary support and raises fresh questions about its ability to pass legislation. Spanish media are covering Bustinduy's indignation and the wider instability it exposes.

Spain's Housing Minister has offered to push an express legislative project incorporating Junts's proposed changes, provided the Catalan party backs the government's royal decree. The reported deal aims to secure the necessary parliamentary support for the decree, reflecting the government's reliance on Junts's votes. Details of which specific amendments would be included have not been made public.

Spain's Government has confirmed it will uphold its decrees and has challenged the opposition parties PP, Vox, and Junts to "show their true colors" in the upcoming vote in Congress. The move sets up a direct confrontation over the decrees' validation, with the governing coalition framing the vote as a test of whether the right-wing parties and Junts will back or block the measures.