𝕏xES first seen 5 h ago, last 5 h ago, peak #1

Polymarket odds of early Spanish election in 2026 jump to 56%

Original: Traders on Polymarket now give Spain a 56% chance of a snap general election in 2026, up from under 20% just days ago. T

Traders on prediction platform Polymarket now put a 56% probability on Spain holding a snap general election in 2026, up from under 20% only days earlier. The sharp move followed Catalan separatist party Junts joining the conservative PP and far-right Vox to defeat Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's two housing decrees in parliament, deepening doubts over his minority government's ability to survive.

Why now: Sánchez's parliamentary defeat by Junts, PP and Vox has raised expectations his coalition may collapse and trigger an early vote.

Pedro SánchezJuntsPartido PopularVoxPolymarket

Open on x →

Evidence

• Traders on Polymarket now give Spain a 56% chance of a snap general election in 2026, up from under 20% just days ago. The jump came after Catalan separatist party Junts sided with the conservative PP and far right Vox to sink Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's two housing decrees · sentdefender · 140

API: https://socialmediatrends-api.osmike.com/v1/trends/747323