search
climate modellers
Trends
- 1Global warming rate doubles, 1.5°C breach seen by 2028▼A recent doubling of global warming rate signals a 1.5°C breach by 2028
A new study finds the rate of global warming has roughly doubled in recent years, projecting that the 1.5°C threshold above pre-industrial levels could be crossed as early as 2028. The finding, published in a peer-reviewed climate journal, points to an acceleration of warming far faster than most climate models anticipated, with commentators warning the window for limiting warming is closing rapidly.
- 2Insurance whistleblower says industry fudging climate risk numbers▼I work for a major insurer. Much of my industry is fudging the numbers in the face of the climate crisis
An anonymous catastrophe modeller at a major insurer has written a Guardian opinion piece claiming the insurance industry is understating climate risk. The whistleblower says insurers are taking on more exposure than their models justify, and warns that a major disaster could trigger far-reaching financial consequences across the sector.
- 3Insurers underestimating climate risks, economists warn●Insurance companies are underestimating the risks of climate change - which carries the risk of economic collapse. https
A Guardian commentary argues that insurance companies are systematically underestimating the risks posed by climate change, leaving homes and businesses exposed as disasters intensify. The warning is that if insurers misprice these risks, sudden losses could ripple through financial markets and trigger wider economic collapse. The piece calls for a more honest accounting of catastrophe risk in pricing and planning.
- 4Ocean Water Seeping Under Thwaites 'Doomsday Glacier' Doubles Sea-Level Threat●Ocean Water Is Seeping Under the Doomsday Glacier—and Its Sea-Level Threat Just Doubled A new model suggests the Thwaite
A new model suggests ocean water is seeping beneath the Thwaites Glacier in Antarctica, and that the glacier could contribute roughly twice as much to sea-level rise as previously estimated. Known as the Doomsday Glacier, Thwaites is considered one of the most vulnerable ice masses on Earth, and the finding raises concerns about faster coastal flooding worldwide.
- 5
Plug-in balcony solar panels are drawing attention as a simple way for renters and apartment dwellers to generate their own renewable power. The panels hang on a balcony railing or wall and connect directly to a standard household socket, feeding electricity into the home without professional installation. Popular in Germany and elsewhere in Europe, the systems are now being discussed as a model for expanding small-scale clean energy access globally.
- 6Google Gives UC San Diego $2.35 Million for AI Climate Modeling▼UC San Diego Awarded $2.35 Million from Google to Advance AI-Driven Climate Modeling
Google has awarded $2.35 million to the University of California, San Diego to advance AI-driven climate modeling. The funding will support research using artificial intelligence to improve predictions of climate and ocean systems. Details on how the money will be allocated across projects have not yet been announced, but the award underscores growing tech-industry investment in climate science and machine learning research at major universities.
- 7Laura Condon turns to physics to predict water futures▼Sandstorm: When the past can't predict the water, Laura Condon turns to physics
University of Arizona hydrologist Laura Condon is featured in the university's Sandstorm series for her work on groundwater. As climate change makes historical records unreliable for forecasting water availability, she uses physics-based computer models to simulate how groundwater systems will respond to drought, warming and changing demand across the United States.
- 8Anti-coal campaigners launch giant Taylor Swift puppet in Australia●Helping fly the Big Swiftie was glorious! So happy i held her wing on the first flight. Swifties, not coal! # LockTheGat
Activists with the Lock the Gate alliance have flown a large puppet known as the Big Swiftie, modelled on a swift and named after Taylor Swift, on its first flight as part of protests against coal. Participants helped carry it aloft, using the slogan 'Swifties, not coal' to draw young fans into climate campaigning.
- 9
Spanish politics is in focus around Valladolid, where attention has turned to Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's appeal to left-wing voters for a 'useful vote' for the PSOE. Sánchez framed his party as the guarantor of the welfare state, contrasting it with the model of the PP and Vox, which he said 'leaves people out in the cold'. The message lands amid a contested electoral climate in Spain.
- 10High wind speeds cut ecosystem water use efficiency, study finds●High wind speed reduces water use efficiency across terrestrial ecosystems
New research published in Nature reports that high wind speeds reduce water use efficiency across terrestrial ecosystems, meaning plants lose more water relative to the carbon they absorb under windy conditions. The finding suggests wind is an underappreciated factor in how vegetation and ecosystems respond to climate change, with implications for models of carbon and water cycles.
- 11Q&A: Expanding climate models for public health▼Q&A: Expanding climate models to better capture the complexities of public health
Phys.org has published a Q&A exploring how climate models could be expanded to better capture the complexities of public health. The discussion highlights that current models focus largely on physical climate variables, while health outcomes depend on factors like disease transmission, heat vulnerability and infrastructure. Researchers argue that integrating health data into climate projections would help governments anticipate risks and plan responses.
- 12
A monumental villa in Amsterdam has been upgraded from energy label G to A++ using heat extracted from the canal water along which it stands. The project shows how historic buildings, often seen as impossible to insulate, can be made energy neutral. Dutch media and readers are discussing it as a model for making older housing stock sustainable amid high energy prices and climate targets.
- 13Whirlpool heat-pump dryer flagged over lint filter design flaws●Note, talking one of the city employees I know who is helping with climate/electrification, beware the Whirlpool Front L
A city employee working on climate and home electrification is warning about Whirlpool's front-load hybrid heat-pump dryer, citing design problems with its lint filtration. The machine reportedly has two separate lint filters that must be cleaned, and lint issues beyond that, raising concerns about reliability and maintenance for households switching to heat-pump dryers as part of electrification efforts.
- 14New Weighting Framework Aims to Improve Climate Model Accuracy▼New Weighting Framework Helps Climate Model Pick Its Best Physics Settings
Researchers have proposed a new weighting framework designed to help climate models identify their most reliable physics settings. The method reportedly improves how different model configurations are evaluated, allowing scientists to select the parameter settings that best reproduce observed climate behaviour. The announcement has drawn attention from climate science observers interested in refining model projections.
- 15New essay argues LLM architectures drive planetary resource overuse●I posted another essay to my blog, The Triage Problem. It addresses a critical modularity issue that I feel is at the he
Kent Pitman has published a new blog essay, The Triage Problem, arguing that a critical modularity flaw lies at the heart of systematic overconsumption of planetary-level resources in typical large language model architectures. The piece frames the issue as a triage question: how computing resources are allocated across AI systems. It is circulating among climate-conscious technology discussants.
- 16Mesa Grande Reservation turns to solar power for resilience▼Mesa Grande Reservation harnesses solar energy to strengthen community resilience
The Mesa Grande Reservation is deploying solar energy as a way to strengthen community resilience. The initiative, reported by Renewable Energy Magazine, reflects a broader push among tribal communities to use renewable power for greater energy independence and reliability, particularly in areas vulnerable to grid disruptions.
- 17UA researcher says ancient climate change differed from today's▼UA researcher in new study says that ancient climate change different than what we have now
A University of Arizona researcher has co-authored a new study finding that ancient climate change operated differently from the warming happening today. The research suggests past climatic shifts cannot serve as a direct template for current human-driven climate change, a distinction with implications for how scientists model and communicate modern warming trends.
- 18Indigenous Knowledge Improves Arctic Ocean Models▼Indigenous observations make Arctic Ocean models more accurate
Indigenous observations are being incorporated into Arctic Ocean climate models, making them more accurate, according to reporting by the Delta Discovery. Local and traditional knowledge about ice, currents and wildlife conditions is helping scientists refine predictions in a region where satellite and instrumental data remain sparse and rapidly changing conditions challenge conventional modelling approaches.
- 19Google and McKinsey strike Brazil carbon removal deal▼Google, McKinsey strike Brazil carbon removal deal with silvopasture project
Google and McKinsey have agreed to a carbon removal project in Brazil based on silvopasture, a practice that integrates trees with livestock grazing. The deal would generate carbon credits by restoring vegetation on pastureland, tying corporate climate commitments to Brazilian agriculture. The announcement is drawing attention as a new model for corporate-funded carbon removal in the region.
- 20Physics-trained neural networks speed up wind and pressure simulations▼Physics-trained networks accelerate wind and pressure simulations
New machine learning models that incorporate physics principles are being used to accelerate simulations of wind and atmospheric pressure, cutting the heavy computational cost of traditional numerical methods. The approach embeds physical laws directly into neural networks, allowing faster and more reliable forecasts of wind behaviour and pressure patterns. Researchers see it as a promising step toward quicker weather and climate modelling.
- 21
A new model of the Thwaites Glacier in West Antarctica, tested against 27 years of satellite data, projects the glacier could contribute roughly 1.2 inches to global sea levels by 2100 — about double earlier estimates. The findings are drawing attention because Thwaites is considered one of the most unstable glaciers in the world, and its potential collapse could drive far larger long-term sea level rise.
- 22UW doctoral student works to link climate models with public health●Q&A: UW Doctoral Student on Expanding Climate Models to Better Capture the Complexities of Public Health | Newswise
A University of Washington doctoral student is featured in a Q&A discussing efforts to expand climate models so they better capture the complexities of public health. The interview covers how current models often miss health-related impacts and why integrating public health data into climate projections could improve planning and response.
- 23How can we build prosperity within the planet's limits?▼How can we build prosperity within the planet’s limits?
The World Economic Forum is asking how societies can pursue economic prosperity while staying within the planet's ecological boundaries. The question frames a core tension in current climate and economic policy debates: how to sustain growth and living standards without exceeding environmental limits. Discussion centres on sustainable development, resource use and models for a greener economy.
- 24Montreal Protocol's impact on the ozone layer examined▼Ozone layer: What impact has the Montreal Protocol had?
Attention has turned to the Montreal Protocol, the 1987 treaty that phased out ozone-depleting substances such as CFCs. Analysts say the agreement has helped the ozone layer begin recovering, with the Antarctic hole projected to heal in the coming decades. The treaty is widely cited as a model of successful global environmental cooperation, and discussions are revisiting what lessons it offers for current climate action.
- 25Sophia Space and MIT Lincoln Laboratory Partner on Space Weather Modeling▼Sophia Space and MIT Lincoln Laboratory Announce Research Collaboration on Space-Based Weather Modeling
Sophia Space and MIT Lincoln Laboratory have announced a research collaboration focused on space-based weather modeling. The partnership will combine the laboratory's research capabilities with Sophia Space's space infrastructure expertise to advance weather modeling from orbit. The announcement, carried by PR Newswire, signals growing commercial and academic interest in satellite-based approaches to weather forecasting and climate monitoring.
- 26Economic Forecasts Slammed for Ignoring Environmental Costs●## All Current Economic Prognostics Ignore Externalities It’s all well and good to talk economics and discuss parameters
An Australian-based commentator argues that mainstream economic forecasting is built on flawed assumptions because it treats natural resources as infinite, overlooking externalities such as environmental damage. The critique says economists debate parameters and economic rationalism without accounting for the real limits of the planet's resources, a gap that is drawing attention amid ongoing debate over climate economics.
- 27Global change drives trade-offs in soil carbon stocks▼Trade-offs between soil inorganic and organic carbon driven by multiple global environmental changes
A new study in Nature finds that multiple global environmental changes, such as climate warming and land-use shifts, drive trade-offs between inorganic and organic carbon stored in soils. As conditions shift, one form of soil carbon can rise while the other declines, complicating estimates of total soil carbon storage and its role in the global carbon cycle. Researchers say the findings matter for climate models and land management, since soils are among the largest carbon reservoirs on Earth.
- 28Verisk expert outlines new science of European storm modelling▼Verisk's Guin: Beyond historical data – the new science of European extratropical cyclone modelling
Verisk's Guin argues that modelling European extratropical cyclones must move beyond historical data, outlining a new scientific approach to assessing these storm risks. The piece addresses how insurers can better understand windstorm losses in Europe, where the historical record alone may not capture the full range of possible cyclone behaviour and financial exposure.
- 29Wildlife Under Threat Worldwide As A Brand Offers A Response▼Wildlife Is Being Threatened Across The Globe. This Brand Is Providing A Blueprint For Fighting Back.
Global wildlife populations face mounting threats, from habitat loss to climate change, and a brand is being highlighted for offering a blueprint for fighting back. The item outlines how the company's conservation-focused approach could serve as a model for other businesses looking to protect endangered species and ecosystems.
- 30Climate models underestimate glacier ice loss in heatwaves●Climate models underestimate how much ice glaciers lose during heatwaves ByLuis ArraisAuthor 7–9 minutes A day-by-day gl
New research indicates climate models underestimate how much ice glaciers lose during heatwaves. A day-by-day glacier simulation projects 5% to 10% more ice loss by 2100 than conventional monthly models, which could add up to 1.3 inches of additional sea level rise. The findings suggest shorter model timeframes capture extreme heat events that coarser models miss.
- 31AI's carbon footprint weighed against its climate potential▼Behind AI's carbon footprint, a potential climate tool
New coverage examines the tension between artificial intelligence's growing energy use and emissions, and its possible value as a tool for climate action. The debate centres on whether AI's benefits, such as optimising energy systems and modelling climate risks, can outweigh the carbon cost of training and running large models, as data centre demand accelerates worldwide.
- 32
Controlled environment agriculture, including greenhouses and vertical farms, is being mapped across the United States to show which regions are best suited for indoor farming. The focus is on where factors such as climate, energy costs, water availability and proximity to markets make growing food indoors economically viable, as the sector seeks stable ground after recent financial setbacks.
- 33Connecticut turns closed landfills into green infrastructure▼Connecticut is turning landfills into green infrastructure
Connecticut is converting old landfill sites into green infrastructure, repurposing land that is otherwise unusable for development. Reports highlight the state's effort to reuse capped dumps for environmentally beneficial projects, a model other states facing similar land constraints may follow.
- 34How China built climate resilience into its growth strategy▼Opinion | How China made climate resilience part of its economic growth strategy
A South China Morning Post opinion piece argues that China has made climate resilience a core component of its economic growth strategy, rather than treating it as a separate environmental concern. The article examines how policies on flood defences, renewable energy and adaptation measures have been folded into the country's broader development planning, positioning climate preparedness as an economic opportunity as well as a necessity.
- 35Carbon removal targets vastly outstrip current capacity●The numbers are stark: IPCC-aligned pathways assume an average of 6 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide removed per year by 205
IPCC-aligned climate pathways assume an average of 6 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide removed per year by 2050, rising to 13 gigatonnes per year by 2100. Current intentional removal, excluding forestry, stands at roughly 2 megatonnes per year, mainly from biochar. Commenters are highlighting the enormous gap between what climate models rely on and what existing carbon removal technology actually delivers.
- 36
Analysts at Vietnam Investment Review argue that carbon finance can only deliver climate results if it is channelled into commercially viable ventures. The piece highlights that carbon markets and credits depend on projects generating real, verifiable emission reductions with sound business models. Without bankable ventures, financing flows and the credibility of carbon trading mechanisms remain in question.
- 37Insurance industry accused of fudging climate risk numbers●https://www. theguardian.com/commentisfree/ 2026/oct/14/climate-crisis-insurance-risk-disaster-catastrophe # climatechan
A Guardian opinion piece by an industry modeller says major insurers are downplaying climate risks, with analysts under pressure to adjust assumptions rather than report worsening disaster exposure. The piece argues the sector is masking how un-insurable some regions are becoming as catastrophes intensify, raising concerns that households and governments will be left carrying escalating costs.
- 38AI shows warming climate will intensify New Zealand's extreme downpours●AI reveals how a warming climate will intensify NZ’s most extreme downpours
New analysis using artificial intelligence indicates that New Zealand's most extreme rainfall events will become more intense as the climate warms. The research, published in The Conversation, applies AI methods to model how heavy downpours are likely to change, offering sharper projections of future flood risk. It adds to growing evidence that extreme precipitation is worsening in a hotter climate.
- 39Climate Models Built on Endless Growth May Hide Best Solutions▼Climate Models Assume Endless Growth, and It May Be Hiding the Best Ways to Save the Planet
A new analysis argues that mainstream climate models assume continuous economic growth, and that this assumption may be obscuring the most effective ways to cut emissions. By treating growth as a given, the models could be overlooking approaches that question consumption levels themselves, limiting the range of strategies considered for meeting climate targets.