Mmastodon HealthPandemics first seen 10 h ago, last 57 min ago, peak #8

Estimate suggests 1 in 29 Californians actively infectious with COVID

Original: Oh wow. So in California apparently 1 in 29 residents is estimated to be actively infectious with COVID / SARS-CoV-2: ht

An estimate cited by Dr Mike Hoerger puts roughly 1 in 29 California residents as actively infectious with COVID-19, based on the PMC19 map's wastewater-based modelling. Commenters are alarmed at the classroom implications, noting that schools with 20 to 30 students per room and high schools mixing students across periods could mean infectious individuals in nearly every class. The figure is fuelling renewed concern about a large ongoing wave with little mitigation in place.

Why now: The striking prevalence estimate highlights the scale of a current COVID wave in California, raising worry about transmission in schools.

CaliforniaCOVID-19SARS-CoV-2Mike HoergerPMC19

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• Oh wow. So in California apparently 1 in 29 residents is estimated to be actively infectious with COVID / SARS-CoV-2: https:// pmc19.com/map per Dr Mike Hoerger. Schools have what, 20-30 students per classroom, and high schools usually mix from period to period? That seems bad?… · datum@zeroes.ca · 19

API: https://socialmediatrends-api.osmike.com/v1/trends/1459211