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El Niño Nearly Certain to Last Six Months: What It Means for LA

Original: ‘100% to 99% Chance’ El Niño Lasts 6 Months: What Does That Mean for Los Angeles?

Forecasters now put the odds of El Niño persisting for the next six months at 99 to 100 percent, an exceptionally confident outlook for the climate pattern. For Los Angeles, a lasting El Niño typically points to a wetter winter, with heavier storms and higher flood risk, though rainfall outcomes can vary from one event to another.

Why now: A near-certain six-month El Niño forecast raises expectations of a wet, potentially stormy winter for Southern California.

El NiñoLos AngelesNational Weather Service

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