Yhn CultureEntertainment first seen 4 d ago, last 42 min ago, peak #1
Did prediction markets actually predict the midterms?
Original: Show HN: Did prediction markets do any predicting this midterms?
A new analysis is being shared that examines how well prediction markets performed at forecasting the US midterm election results. The project looks at whether platforms offering contracts on electoral outcomes produced genuinely useful predictions, or simply tracked the race. The question has drawn attention as analysts review which forecasts and polling models proved accurate after the vote.
Why now: Attention on election forecasting is high now that midterm results can be checked against market predictions.
prediction marketsUS midterm elections
Rank over time, top of the chart is #1. 96 snapshots from 4 d ago to 42 min ago.
Evidence
- Show HN: Did prediction markets do any predicting this midterms? · nuwandavek · 35
API: https://socialmediatrends-api.osmike.com/v1/trends/5206723