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Brazil heads to Sunday vote with Lula and Bolsonaro tied

Original: Brazil votes Sunday with Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro tied in runoff polling, and a Bolsonaro win could mean accepting Wash

Brazilians vote Sunday in a runoff with polling showing Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro tied ahead of election day. Observers say a Bolsonaro win could force Brazil to accept Washington's red lines while preserving trade with China, keeping iron ore and soy exports flowing as the country balances between the two powers in an increasingly competitive global environment.

Why now: The election is happening Sunday with the race effectively deadlocked, making the outcome and its trade implications highly uncertain.

LulaFlávio BolsonaroBrazilChinaUnited States

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Evidence

• Brazil votes Sunday with Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro tied in runoff polling, and a Bolsonaro win could mean accepting Washington's red lines without cutting soy exports to China. The deal is simple: iron ore and soy keep moving. In this cooler new "Cold War," the restrictions · MarioNawfal · 92

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