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Russia's losses seen outpacing autumn conscription drive
Original: Ukraine Brief — 2026-10-02 Russia's quarterly personnel losses will very likely exceed the entire 120,000 autumn conscri
Russia's quarterly personnel losses in the war against Ukraine are likely to exceed the entire 120,000-strong autumn conscript intake between October and December, according to an intelligence-style briefing. Four of the last five months saw over 40,000 losses each, and September set a record at 46,230, with no sign of a plateau.
Why now: New casualty estimates suggest Moscow's manpower losses are outstripping its ability to replace them through conscription.
Evidence
- Ukraine Brief — 2026-10-02 Russia's quarterly personnel losses will very likely exceed the entire 120,000 autumn conscript intake during October through December. Four of the last five months topped 40,000, and September's record 46,230 shows no plateau. Moderate confidence… · icbrief@infosec.exchange · 2
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