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Senate Races in Republican States Tilt Toward Democrats, Polls Find

Original: Senate Races in Republican States Tilt Toward Democrats, Polls Find https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/03/us/senate-polls-t

New polling reported by the New York Times suggests Senate races in traditionally Republican states — including Texas, Kansas, Ohio, Alaska and Iowa — are leaning toward Democratic candidates. The findings point to an unexpectedly competitive Senate map ahead of the midterm elections, challenging assumptions that these deep-red states are safe for Republicans and fueling debate about a possible broader Democratic surge.

Why now: Fresh polls showing Democratic gains in reliably Republican states upend expectations for the Senate midterm map.

Democratic PartyRepublican PartyTexasOhioIowa

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