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El Niño returns: from climate signal to sovereign risk

El Niño conditions are back, and analysts are framing the weather pattern not just as a climate event but as a financial risk. A T. Rowe Price analysis argues the return of El Niño could pressure food and energy prices, widen fiscal deficits in exposed economies and raise borrowing costs, turning a recurring climate signal into a matter of sovereign credit risk for vulnerable governments.

Why now: Investors are watching how El Niño could push up commodity prices and strain public finances in exposed countries.

El NiñoT. Rowe Price

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